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For release 25 August 2026 Perigon’s Low-Carbon Transition Index finds a largely positive direction of travel across key energy-related and enabler indicators in 2024. Speed is the problem: ten of the fourteen indicators are improving, yet only four are improving fast enough to meet even existing policy commitments, let alone net zero.
| Indicator | Direction of travel | Stated Policies | Net Zero |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real-economy: energy-related | |||
| Energy generation | Improving | 60 | 60 |
| Energy storage | Improving | 100 | 100 |
| Transport | Improving | 60 | 60 |
| Buildings | Improving | 100 | 80 |
| Industry | Improving | 100 | 60 |
| Energy intensity | Improving | 60 | 60 |
| Low-carbon fuels | Deteriorating | 73 | 33 |
| Real-economy: non-energy-related | |||
| Deforestation | Improving | 60 | 60 |
| Dietary change | Deteriorating | 33 | 33 |
| Reforestation | Deteriorating | 33 | 33 |
| Carbon capture | Deteriorating | 33 | 33 |
| Transition enablers | |||
| Commitments | Improving | 80 | 80 |
| Investment | Improving | 60 | 60 |
| Carbon pricing | Improving | 60 | 60 |
| Real-economy transition progress · 11 | 64.8 | 55.8 |
| Transition enablers · 3 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| LCTI total · 14 | 65.2 | 58.1 |
Above 75 on track, 50 to 75 below the required pace, below 50 off track. Totals are the unweighted mean of members. Perigon Partners analysis, December 2025.
“The question is no longer whether the transition is happening. It is. Ten of our fourteen indicators moved the right way this year. The question now is pace. Only four indicators are moving fast enough to deliver current policy; only three are fast enough for a balanced pathway to 2050 net zero.”
Each indicator gets two scores. Direction of travel (40% of that metric’s overall score) asks whether the metric improved on the previous year. Pace, weighted more heavily at 60%, asks whether that year’s rate of change is fast enough to reach the 2035 benchmark. So an indicator can be improving and still fall short. Six of the ten that improved are not moving fast enough. Total progress scores are an unweighted mean of all indicators.
Stated Policies is the carbon reduction pathway implied by the policies governments have actually adopted. Net Zero is the pathway to net zero by 2050 that results in limited overshoot of a 1.5°C temperature rise this century.
Eight of the fourteen indicators are benchmarked against the IEA World Energy Outlook 2025 scenarios. The other six use the most credible published reference available for each: the Glasgow Leaders’ Declaration, NGFS scenarios, SBTi criteria, the IEA investment requirement, and for dietary change a UK Climate Change Committee recommendation rescaled to a global baseline (as no global pathway currently exists). For four indicators (deforestation, dietary change, reforestation, and commitments), there is no available distinction between the two pathways so scores are consistent across stated policies and net zero.
It answers from the Index and nothing else, and returns the sources alongside the answer, so what it tells you is quotable and traceable.
perigonpartners.co.uk/lctiPublished under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0. Reproduce the scorecard, charts and figures, including commercially, provided Perigon Partners and any underlying third-party source are credited. No permission request needed.
Print-resolution files from media@perigonpartners.co.uk: the scorecard, also as CSV, global investment in the energy transition, and low-carbon share by sector.
Perigon Partners (2026). The Low-Carbon Transition Index [Data set and report]. Zenodo.
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22094542
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Perigon Partners is a strategy and sustainability consultancy working with CEOs and Boards of
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